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Economy44d 7h left

Will headline inflation fall below 3% next quarter?

YES probability 37%

NO probability 63%

YES 37%NO 63%

Showing the last traded price. Live updates are connecting…

Current market: YES 37 percent, NO 63 percent.

−2.4pts / 24h218 pts traded · 48 trades

Resolves YES if Philippine Statistics Authority CPI report.

Source (opens in a new tab) Full rules

Price history

YES price after every trade, from 0% to 100%.

Price history, 48 points from Aug 28 to Sep 18. First YES 51%, latest YES 37%, low 37%, high 55%.

Rules and resolution

Question closes
11/2/2026, 6:26:59 AM (44d 7h left)
What this market asks
Resolves YES if PSA reports year-on-year headline inflation below 3.0% for the quarter-ending month.
Resolution criteria
Philippine Statistics Authority CPI report.
Resolution source
https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/survey/price (opens in a new tab)
How a market is resolved
One moderator proposes an outcome with evidence. A different moderator has to confirm it — the database refuses a resolution proposed and confirmed by the same person. Sponsors can never resolve a market. After a resolution is proposed there is a dispute window before it becomes final.
What this market traded
218 points across 48 trades by 13 forecasters.

Comments (3)

Checking your session…

  • @rosa_a Sep 18, 07:08 AM

    This one is closer than the price suggests.

  • @grace_tiu Sep 18, 07:08 AM

    I would fade the favourite here — the liquidity is too thin.

  • @rosa_a Sep 18, 07:08 AM

    PAGASA already upgraded the signal twice this week.

Checking your session…

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