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Demo environment. Every account, price and trade here is sample data generated for testing. Nothing on this page reflects real trading, real opinion, or a real forecast.
Economy49d 7h left

Will the unemployment rate fall below 3.5%?

YES probability 52%

NO probability 48%

YES 52%NO 48%

Showing the last traded price. Live updates are connecting…

Current market: YES 52 percent, NO 48 percent.

0.6pts / 24h23 pts traded · 14 trades

Resolves YES if PSA Labour Force Survey.

Source (opens in a new tab) Full rules

Price history

YES price after every trade, from 0% to 100%.

Price history, 14 points from Aug 28 to Sep 18. First YES 51%, latest YES 52%, low 50%, high 54%.

Rules and resolution

Question closes
11/7/2026, 6:26:59 AM (49d 7h left)
What this market asks
Resolves YES if the PSA Labour Force Survey reports an unemployment rate below 3.5%.
Resolution criteria
PSA Labour Force Survey.
How a market is resolved
One moderator proposes an outcome with evidence. A different moderator has to confirm it — the database refuses a resolution proposed and confirmed by the same person. Sponsors can never resolve a market. After a resolution is proposed there is a dispute window before it becomes final.
What this market traded
23 points across 14 trades by 10 forecasters.

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