Will Vice President Sara Duterte be impeached?
YES probability 46%
NO probability 54%
Showing the last traded price. Live updates are connecting…
Current market: YES 46 percent, NO 54 percent.
Resolves YES if Resolves YES only if the Senate of the Philippines, sitting as an impeachment court, votes to convict and remove Vice President Sara Z. Duterte from office on or before the close date. Resolves NO if she is acquitted, if the trial is dismissed, terminated or rendered void without a conviction, or if no conviction vote has taken place by the close date. The official Senate roll-call vote is the sole source; news reports alone do not resolve it.
Price history
YES price after every trade, from 0% to 100%.
Rules and resolution
- Question closes
- 1/16/2027, 10:13:49 AM (119d 10h left)
- What this market asks
- For this market, IMPEACHED means removed from office by conviction in the Senate impeachment trial. The House of Representatives transmitting articles of impeachment to the Senate has already happened and does NOT resolve this market.
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES only if the Senate of the Philippines, sitting as an impeachment court, votes to convict and remove Vice President Sara Z. Duterte from office on or before the close date. Resolves NO if she is acquitted, if the trial is dismissed, terminated or rendered void without a conviction, or if no conviction vote has taken place by the close date. The official Senate roll-call vote is the sole source; news reports alone do not resolve it.
- Resolution source
- https://web.senate.gov.ph/ (opens in a new tab)
- How a market is resolved
- One moderator proposes an outcome with evidence. A different moderator has to confirm it — the database refuses a resolution proposed and confirmed by the same person. Sponsors can never resolve a market. After a resolution is proposed there is a dispute window before it becomes final.
- What this market traded
- 345 points across 65 trades by 14 forecasters.
Comments (3)
Checking your session…
@paolo_g Sep 18, 10:37 AM
Inflation prints have been drifting down for three months now.
@paolo_g Sep 18, 10:37 AM
PAGASA already upgraded the signal twice this week.
@grace_tiu Sep 18, 10:37 AM
I would fade the favourite here — the liquidity is too thin.
Checking your session…
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