LocalSettled YES
Will Metro Manila be placed under typhoon signal no. 3 this season?
YES probability 47%
NO probability 53%
YES 47%NO 53%
Showing the last traded price. Live updates are connecting…
Current market: YES 47 percent, NO 53 percent.
+1.8pts / 24h220 pts traded · 51 trades
Resolves YES if PAGASA tropical cyclone bulletins.
Price history
YES price after every trade, from 0% to 100%.
Rules and resolution
- Question closes
- 9/16/2026, 7:07:23 AM (closed)
- What this market asks
- Resolves YES if PAGASA raises tropical cyclone wind signal no. 3 over any part of Metro Manila.
- Resolution criteria
- PAGASA tropical cyclone bulletins.
- Resolution source
- https://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/ (opens in a new tab)
- How a market is resolved
- One moderator proposes an outcome with evidence. A different moderator has to confirm it — the database refuses a resolution proposed and confirmed by the same person. Sponsors can never resolve a market. After a resolution is proposed there is a dispute window before it becomes final.
- What this market traded
- 220 points across 51 trades by 14 forecasters.
Resolution
- Outcome
- YES
- Proposed by
- moderator dd72e3d4 on 9/18/2026, 7:07:31 AM
- Confirmed by
- moderator a5be7cd2 on 9/18/2026, 7:07:33 AM
- Disputed
- No dispute has been raised.
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