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LocalSettled NO

Will the EDSA busway carry more than 200,000 riders in a single day?

YES probability 25%

NO probability 75%

YES 25%NO 75%

Showing the last traded price. Live updates are connecting…

Current market: YES 25 percent, NO 75 percent.

1.8pts / 24h166 pts traded · 40 trades

Resolves YES if DOTr or MMDA published figures.

Source (opens in a new tab) Full rules

Price history

YES price after every trade, from 0% to 100%.

Price history, 40 points from Aug 28 to Sep 18. First YES 48%, latest YES 25%, low 25%, high 55%.

Rules and resolution

Question closes
9/16/2026, 7:07:40 AM (closed)
What this market asks
Resolves YES if a single-day ridership figure above 200,000 is published for the EDSA busway.
Resolution criteria
DOTr or MMDA published figures.
How a market is resolved
One moderator proposes an outcome with evidence. A different moderator has to confirm it — the database refuses a resolution proposed and confirmed by the same person. Sponsors can never resolve a market. After a resolution is proposed there is a dispute window before it becomes final.
What this market traded
166 points across 40 trades by 13 forecasters.

Resolution

Outcome
NO
Proposed by
moderator dd72e3d4 on 9/18/2026, 7:07:47 AM
Confirmed by
moderator a5be7cd2 on 9/18/2026, 7:07:49 AM
Disputed
No dispute has been raised.

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